Key points:
Bitcoin and several altcoins have bounced off their Friday lows, but higher levels are likely to attract solid resistance from the bears.
BTC price and select altcoins could see rangebound action for a few days.
The US stock markets, Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins are trying to claw their way back up from the deep drops seen on Friday following US President Donald Trump’s announcement of a 100% tariff on China.
The fall was brutal, resulting in a 24-hour liquidation of about $20 billion, according to CoinGlass data. Several highly leveraged traders, lacking proper risk control, would have faced massive losses.
That has flushed out some of the froth from the system, paving the way for stronger long-term investors to enter on dips. The rebound has begun, but a runaway rally may not start in a hurry.
Economist Timothy Peterson told Cointelegraph on Sunday that BTC was likely to enter a “cooling off period” for three to four weeks before resuming its uptrend, albeit “at a slower pace than before.”
Could BTC and altcoins build upon the recovery, or will higher levels attract sellers? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
S&P 500 Index price prediction
The S&P 500 Index (SPX) turned down sharply and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average (6,652) on Friday, indicating profit-booking by traders.
The bulls purchased the dip to the 50-day simple moving average (6,538) and have pushed the price to the 20-day EMA. If the price turns down sharply from the 20-day EMA, the bears will again try to sink the index below the 50-day SMA. If they succeed, the correction could deepen to 6,350 and then to 6,200.
Instead, if the price closes above the 20-day EMA, it signals that the correction may be over. The index may then retest the all-time high of 6,764.
US Dollar Index price prediction
The US Dollar Index (DXY) closed above the moving averages on Tuesday, signaling that the bears are losing their grip.
The bulls pushed the price above the downtrend line on Thursday, but have failed to build upon the breakout. Sellers will likely attempt to push the price below the 20-day EMA (98.26), a critical short-term level to watch.
A strong bounce off the 20-day EMA increases the possibility of a break above 100.50. The index could then climb to the 102 level.
Conversely, a close below the moving averages suggests that the markets have rejected the break above the downtrend line. The index may then tumble to the 97 level and later to the solid support at 96.21.
Bitcoin price prediction
Sellers failed to complete a double-top pattern in BTC as they were unable to achieve a close below the $107,000 support level.
The Bitcoin price dipped to $102,000 on Friday, but quickly made a sharp recovery, indicating buying at lower levels. The BTC/USDT pair is expected to face selling at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of $116,955.
However, if buyers overcome the resistance, the pair could rally to $121,020 and then to the all-time high of $126,199.
Conversely, if the price turns down sharply from the current level, it is likely to find support at $109,500 and then at $107,000. Buyers are expected to fiercely defend the $107,000 level because a break below it increases the risk of a collapse below $100,000.
Ether price prediction
Sellers pulled Ether (ETH) below the descending channel pattern on Friday and Saturday but were unable to sustain the lower levels.
Ether price climbed back into the channel on Sunday, indicating solid demand at lower levels. If the price turns down sharply from the moving averages, the bears will again strive to pull the ETH/USDT pair below the channel. If they succeed, it suggests that the pair may have topped out in the near term.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks above the moving averages, it signals that the pair may remain inside the channel for a while longer. A break and close above the resistance line improves the prospects of the resumption of the uptrend.
BNB price prediction
BNB (BNB) has experienced significant volatility in the past few days. The bears pulled the price below the 20-day EMA ($1,145) on Friday, but the bulls reclaimed the level on Saturday.
That suggests positive sentiment, where the dips are considered a buying opportunity. The BNB price galloped to a new all-time high of $1,375 on Monday, but the bulls are struggling to sustain the higher levels. That indicates selling on rallies.
The bears will try to strengthen their position by pulling the price back below the 20-day EMA. If they manage to do that, it suggests a short-term top.
On the contrary, if the price rises and closes above $1,350, it signals that the bulls remain in control. The BNB/USDT pair may then rally to $1,609.
XRP price prediction
XRP (XRP) completed a bearish descending triangle setup on Friday and plunged well below the pattern target of $1.72.
A minor positive is that the XRP price made a solid recovery from the $1.25 low, signaling aggressive buying at lower levels. The relief rally is expected to reach the 20-day EMA ($2.77), where the bears are expected to step in. If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the XRP/USDT pair could slump to $2.20 and subsequently to $2.
The bulls will have to drive the price above the downtrend line to signal a comeback. Until then, the rallies are likely to be sold into.
Solana price prediction
Solana (SOL) fell below the ascending channel pattern on Friday, indicating that the bears are attempting to take charge.
The buyers did not give up and bought the dip to $168. That started a sharp recovery on Sunday, pushing the SOL/USDT pair to the breakdown level from the channel.
Related: XRP rebounds 66% from price crash, regaining $75B in market value
If the price turns down and breaks below $168, it signals that the sentiment has turned negative. That increases the likelihood of a drop to $155.
The bulls will be back in the game after they push the Solana price above the moving averages. The pair could then rally toward the overhead resistance of $260.
Dogecoin price prediction
Sellers pulled Dogecoin (DOGE) below the $0.14 support level on Friday but were unable to achieve a close below it.
Dogecoin price recovered sharply and re-entered the large $0.14 to $0.29 range. The bulls will try to push the price to the 20-day EMA ($0.23), which could attract sellers. If the price falls below the 20-day EMA, the DOGE/USDT pair could decline to $0.18 and then to $0.16.
The next trending move could begin after the price closes above $0.29 or below $0.14. Until then, the pair is likely to oscillate inside the range.
Cardano price prediction
Cardano (ADA) broke below the descending channel pattern on Friday and plunged to the panic low of $0.27.
Lower levels attracted strong buying by the bulls, who have pushed the price to the breakdown level from the channel. Sellers are expected to pose a strong challenge in the zone between the support line and the 20-day EMA ($0.78).
If the Cardano price turns down sharply from the resistance zone, it suggests that the bears remain in control. The ADA/USDT pair could then drop to $0.60 and eventually to $0.50.
This negative view will be invalidated in the near term if the price continues higher and breaks above the resistance line.
Hyperliquid price prediction
Hyperliquid (HYPE) completed a head-and-shoulders pattern on Friday and plunged to its target objective of $21.
Solid buying at lower levels has pushed the price back to the neckline of the H&S pattern, where the bears are expected to mount a strong defense. If the price turns down from the neckline, the sellers will try to sink the HYPE/USDT pair below the $35.50 support. If they can pull it off, the Hyperliquid price could descend to $30.50.
Buyers are likely to have other plans. They will try to push the price above the moving averages, suggesting that the corrective phase may be nearing completion.
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.