Bitcoin continues its bull market trajectory, displaying strong similarities to previous cycles but with key structural differences due to spot ETFs, institutional demand, and liquidity migration. While diminishing returns remain a feature of each cycle, on-chain data suggests Bitcoin has not yet reached peak euphoria, leaving potential room for further expansion.
This analysis incorporates the latest Bitcoin data, focusing on Realized Cap growth, long-term holder (LTH) distribution, ETF-driven liquidity migration, and key market indicators to determine Bitcoin’s current phase in the cycle.
Latest Summary: Key Technical Insights and Market Implications
1. Bitcoin’s Bull Market Structure Remains Consistent, but Growth Rates Have Slowed
Bitcoin’s price appreciation follows a logarithmic growth model, where each cycle produces lower percentage gains as the market cap expands and liquidity deepens.